Gela vs Igea Virtus: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Vincenzo Presti, Gela
The Footlab AI model makes Igea Virtus the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Gela. The most likely score is 1-1. If Igea Virtus wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gela vs Igea Virtus?
Igea Virtus starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,710 vs 1,602).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gela vs Igea Virtus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gela
Not enough data to predict the Gela lineup.
Igea Virtus
Not enough data to predict the Igea Virtus lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gela have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Igea Virtus have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Milazzo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Enna(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CastrumFavara(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Reggina(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nissa(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Reggina(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Trapani 1905(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Gela wins, 0 draws, 2 Igea Virtus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Igea Virtus 3-0 Gela | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Gela 1-2 Igea Virtus | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Gela score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Igea Virtus score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gela | 0.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Igea Virtus | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gela sit 14th in Serie D - Girone I (5 points from 7 matches) and Igea Virtus sit 7th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 14 | Gela | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
A question about Gela vs Igea Virtus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gela vs Igea Virtus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Igea Virtus the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Gela.
- Where and when is Gela vs Igea Virtus played?
- Gela vs Igea Virtus is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vincenzo Presti, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.