Modica vs Calcio Avola: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Modica the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Calcio Avola. The most likely score is 1-1. If Modica wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Modica vs Calcio Avola?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Modica (1,695) and Calcio Avola (1,704).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Modica vs Calcio Avola
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Modica
Not enough data to predict the Modica lineup.
Calcio Avola
Not enough data to predict the Calcio Avola lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Modica have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Calcio Avola have 5, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Calcio Avola(away) | 4-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Enna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CastrumFavara(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Enna(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Modica(home) | 0-4 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ragusa(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CastrumFavara(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nissa(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Modica win, 0 draws, 0 Calcio Avola wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Calcio Avola 0-4 Modica | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Calcio Avola vs Modica on Oct 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Modica score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 8; Calcio Avola score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modica | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 2/8 | 4/8 |
| Calcio Avola | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 2/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Modica sit 13th in Serie D - Girone I (7 points from 7 matches) and Calcio Avola sit 6th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Calcio Avola | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Modica vs Calcio Avola?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Modica vs Calcio Avola?
- The Footlab AI model makes Modica the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Calcio Avola.
- Where and when is Modica vs Calcio Avola played?
- Modica vs Calcio Avola is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.