Enna vs CastrumFavara: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Generale Gaeta, Enna
The Footlab model makes Enna the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for CastrumFavara. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Enna vs CastrumFavara?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Enna (1,678) and CastrumFavara (1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Enna have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; CastrumFavara have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | CastrumFavara(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gelbison(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nissa(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Reggina(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Enna(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Paternò(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Gela(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 12, 2026 | AC Palermo(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Acireale(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Enna win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 CastrumFavara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | CastrumFavara 2-2 Enna | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Enna 3-0 CastrumFavara | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Enna 0-0 CastrumFavara | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 8, 2024 | CastrumFavara 0-0 Enna | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Enna 1-0 CastrumFavara | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Enna score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; CastrumFavara score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enna | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| CastrumFavara | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Enna sit 12th in Serie D - Girone I (36 points from 34 matches) and CastrumFavara sit 11th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | CastrumFavara | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 47 | 38 |
| 12 | Enna | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 50 | 53 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Enna vs CastrumFavara?
- The Footlab model makes Enna the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for CastrumFavara.
- Where and when is Enna vs CastrumFavara played?
- Enna vs CastrumFavara is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Generale Gaeta, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.