Siracusa vs Ragusa: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Nicola de Simone, Siracusa
The Footlab AI model makes Siracusa the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Ragusa. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siracusa vs Ragusa?
Siracusa starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,810 vs 1,620).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Siracusa vs Ragusa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Siracusa
Not enough data to predict the Siracusa lineup.
Ragusa
Not enough data to predict the Ragusa lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 04:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siracusa have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Ragusa have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Licata(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Milazzo(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Modica(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Igea Virtus(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nissa(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Calcio Avola(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Trapani 1905(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Licata(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Siracusa wins, 2 draws, 1 Ragusa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | Ragusa 1-2 Siracusa | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Siracusa 3-0 Ragusa | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Siracusa 1-0 Ragusa | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Siracusa 0-0 Ragusa | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Ragusa 0-0 Siracusa | Serie D - Girone I |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Siracusa 1-2 Ragusa | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Siracusa score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ragusa score 0.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siracusa | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Ragusa | 0.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siracusa sit 12th in Serie D - Girone I (7 points from 7 matches) and Ragusa sit 17th (3 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Siracusa | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 17 | Ragusa | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
A question about Siracusa vs Ragusa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siracusa vs Ragusa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Siracusa the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Ragusa.
- Where and when is Siracusa vs Ragusa played?
- Siracusa vs Ragusa is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nicola de Simone, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.