Licata vs Vigor Lamezia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Saraceno, Ravanusa
The Footlab AI model makes Licata the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Vigor Lamezia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Licata wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,223 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Licata vs Vigor Lamezia?
On Elo ratings, Licata has 1,693 points and Vigor Lamezia 1,722.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Licata vs Vigor Lamezia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Licata
Not enough data to predict the Licata lineup.
Vigor Lamezia
Not enough data to predict the Vigor Lamezia lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 09:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Licata have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Vigor Lamezia have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Siracusa(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | AC Palermo(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Trapani 1905(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Enna(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Enna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Gelbison(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CastrumFavara(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sambiase(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Licata score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vigor Lamezia score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Licata | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Vigor Lamezia | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Licata sit 6th in Serie D - Girone I (14 points from 7 matches) and Vigor Lamezia sit 11th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Licata | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 11 | Vigor Lamezia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 8 |
A question about Licata vs Vigor Lamezia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Licata vs Vigor Lamezia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Licata the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Vigor Lamezia.
- Where and when is Licata vs Vigor Lamezia played?
- Licata vs Vigor Lamezia is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Saraceno, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.