Match

Vigor Lamezia vs Licata: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Guido D'Ippolito, Lamezia Terme

Vigor LameziaLicata

The Footlab AI model makes Vigor Lamezia the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Licata. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vigor Lamezia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,045 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vigor Lamezia vs Licata?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Vigor Lamezia (1,757) and Licata (1,729).

46%27%27%
Vigor Lamezia winDrawLicata win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Vigor Lamezia vs Licata

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Vigor Lamezia

Not enough data to predict the Vigor Lamezia lineup.

Licata

Not enough data to predict the Licata lineup.

Computed on October 23, 2026 at 05:06 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vigor Lamezia have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Licata have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vigor Lamezia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Enna(home)3-0Serie D - Girone I
Oct 11, 2026Siracusa(away)0-3Serie D - Girone I
Oct 7, 2026Gelbison(home)2-2Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026CastrumFavara(home)2-0Serie D - Girone I
Sep 27, 2026Sambiase(away)1-4Serie D - Girone I
Licata
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Siracusa(home)2-1Serie D - Girone I
Oct 11, 2026AC Palermo(away)2-1Serie D - Girone I
Oct 7, 2026Trapani 1905(away)2-1Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Sambiase(home)2-1Serie D - Girone I
Sep 26, 2026Enna(away)3-0Serie D - Girone I

How many goals should we expect?

Vigor Lamezia score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Licata score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vigor Lamezia1.31.739/159/15
Licata1.51.348/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vigor Lamezia sit 11th in Serie D - Girone I (8 points from 8 matches) and Licata sit 6th (14 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Licata742110914
11Vigor Lamezia822410168

A question about Vigor Lamezia vs Licata?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vigor Lamezia vs Licata?
The Footlab AI model makes Vigor Lamezia the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Licata.
Where and when is Vigor Lamezia vs Licata played?
Vigor Lamezia vs Licata is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito, in the Serie D - Girone I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Vigor Lamezia and Licata

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