Gemert vs Dongen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Molenbroek, Gemert
The Footlab AI model makes Gemert the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Dongen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gemert wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gemert vs Dongen?
Gemert starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,783 vs 1,620).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gemert vs Dongen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gemert
4-3-3- 7R. Kemper
- 15Wout Barten
- 19Hazem Ben Rouba
- 9D. van Diepen
- 14M. Crommentuijn
- 8Brent Achten
- 4Lex Van Dijk
- 21Gijs Vercoelen
- 6Max Verkuijl
- 23T. Mezenberg
- 1Jeroen Keeris
Dongen
4-3-3- 17M. van Bree
- 15A. Sesay
- 11R. Siemerink
- 10F. Kamaçi
- 8T. Avontuur
- 4T. Martens
- 6L. Hultermans
- 14S. Spijkers
- 12J. Gerrits
- 20P. Scheerlinck
- 22S. Heijstee
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gemert have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Dongen have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | FC Lisse(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Groene Ster(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 3-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 20, 2026 | UDI '19(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UNA(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Blauw Geel(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gemert wins, 1 draw, 2 Dongen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Dongen 3-2 Gemert | Derde Divisie |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Dongen 2-1 Gemert | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Gemert 1-0 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Jun 2, 2022 | Dongen 3-3 Gemert | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Gemert 2-1 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Dongen 0-1 Gemert | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
Gemert score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dongen score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemert | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Dongen | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gemert sit 11th in Derde Divisie (10 points from 9 matches) and Dongen sit 8th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dongen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 13 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 10 |
A question about Gemert vs Dongen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gemert vs Dongen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gemert the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Dongen.
- Where and when is Gemert vs Dongen played?
- Gemert vs Dongen is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Molenbroek, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.