Dongen vs Gemert: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Biezen, Dongen
The Footlab model makes Dongen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Gemert. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dongen vs Gemert?
Gemert starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dongen have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Gemert have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zwaluwen(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Heerjansdam(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Heerjansdam(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 30, 2026 | SVV Scheveningen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 27, 2026 | SVV Scheveningen(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | GOES(away) | 3-3 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | SteDoCo(home) | 6-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 10, 2026 | Vvsb(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dongen win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Gemert win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | Dongen 2-1 Gemert | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Gemert 1-0 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Jun 2, 2022 | Dongen 3-3 Gemert | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Gemert 2-1 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Dongen 0-1 Gemert | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Gemert 3-2 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
Dongen score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gemert score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dongen | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Gemert | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dongen sit 5th in Derde Divisie (3 points from 1 matches) and Gemert sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dongen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Gemert | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dongen vs Gemert?
- The Footlab model makes Dongen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Gemert.
- Where and when is Dongen vs Gemert played?
- Dongen vs Gemert is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Biezen, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.