Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kocaelispor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara
The Footlab model makes Gençlerbirliği S.K. the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Kocaelispor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kocaelispor?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Gençlerbirliği S.K. (1,950) and Kocaelispor (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gençlerbirliği S.K. have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Kocaelispor have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| May 13, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Amed(home) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(away) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 17, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 3, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gençlerbirliği S.K. win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kocaelispor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1-0 Kocaelispor | Süper Lig |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Kocaelispor 1-0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig |
| Jan 20, 2025 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1-0 Kocaelispor | 1. Lig |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Kocaelispor 2-1 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1. Lig |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2-0 Kocaelispor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Kocaelispor 2-2 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kocaelispor on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gençlerbirliği S.K. score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kocaelispor score 0.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Kocaelispor | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gençlerbirliği S.K. sit 1st in Süper Lig (6 points from 2 matches) and Kocaelispor sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Kocaelispor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kocaelispor?
- The Footlab model makes Gençlerbirliği S.K. the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Kocaelispor.
- Where and when is Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kocaelispor played?
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kocaelispor is played on May 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Eryaman Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.