Başakşehir vs Rizespor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Rizespor. The most likely score is 1-1. If Başakşehir wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,641 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Başakşehir vs Rizespor?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Başakşehir (2,018) and Rizespor (1,930).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Başakşehir vs Rizespor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Başakşehir
4-2-3-1- 17U. Bozok
- 70A. Skov Olsen
- 8O. Kemen
- 20U. Güneş
- 77I. Brnić
- 14E. Shomurodov
- 23E. Bayram
- 27O. Ba
- 33M. Karbownik
- 38S. Kharebashvili
- 16M. Şengezer
Rizespor
4-1-4-1- 9A. Sowe
- 20Q. Laçi
- 14T. Antalyalı
- 10I. Olawoyin
- 11Adedire Emmanuel Awokoya-Mebude
- 99E. Bulut
- 93M. Sagnan
- 54M. Pala
- 17Z. Ariss
- 21S. Bakayoko
- 75Y. Fofana
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 10:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Başakşehir have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Rizespor have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 4-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Amed(away) | 0-5 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 3-4 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(home) | 0-3 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Başakşehir wins, 3 draws, 1 Rizespor win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Başakşehir 2-2 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Rizespor 0-0 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Başakşehir 2-0 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Rizespor 1-1 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Başakşehir 2-0 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Rizespor 3-2 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Başakşehir vs Rizespor on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Başakşehir score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rizespor score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Başakşehir | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Rizespor | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Başakşehir sit 12th in Süper Lig (11 points from 9 matches) and Rizespor sit 13th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Başakşehir | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 10 |
A question about Başakşehir vs Rizespor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Başakşehir vs Rizespor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Rizespor.
- Where and when is Başakşehir vs Rizespor played?
- Başakşehir vs Rizespor is played on May 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.