Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahçe: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Papara Park, Trabzon
The Footlab model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Trabzonspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahçe?
Fenerbahçe starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (2,208 vs 2,085).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trabzonspor have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Fenerbahçe have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Konyaspor(home) | 4-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Trabzonspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Fenerbahçe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Trabzonspor 2-3 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Fenerbahçe 1-0 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Fenerbahçe 4-1 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Trabzonspor 2-3 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Trabzonspor 2-3 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Fenerbahçe 2-3 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahçe on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trabzonspor score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fenerbahçe score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Fenerbahçe | 2.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trabzonspor sit 4th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Fenerbahçe sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Fenerbahçe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahçe?
- The Footlab model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Trabzonspor.
- Where and when is Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahçe played?
- Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahçe is played on May 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Papara Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.