Where and when is Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon played?

Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Fortín, in the Torneo Federal A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon: prediction and stats

Torneo Federal ALosers Stage - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Fortín, Rawson, Provincia del Chubut

Germinal de Rawson

Deportivo Rincon

The Footlab model makes Germinal de Rawson the favourite at 40%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Deportivo Rincon. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Germinal de Rawson (1,632) and Deportivo Rincon (1,685).

Germinal de Rawson win40 %

Draw34 %

Deportivo Rincon win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Germinal de Rawson have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Deportivo Rincon have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Germinal de Rawson
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	San Martín Mendoza(home)	0-0	Torneo Federal A
Aug 16, 2026	Sol de Mayo(away)	0-1	Torneo Federal A
Aug 12, 2026	Santamarina(home)	5-1	Torneo Federal A
Aug 8, 2026	Costa Brava(away)	1-1	Torneo Federal A
Aug 2, 2026	Juventud Unida Univ.(home)	2-1	Torneo Federal A

Deportivo Rincon
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Juventud Unida Univ.(home)	1-0	Torneo Federal A
Aug 16, 2026	San Martín Mendoza(away)	0-1	Torneo Federal A
Aug 12, 2026	Circulo Deportivo(home)	0-0	Torneo Federal A
Aug 8, 2026	Sol de Mayo(away)	4-2	Torneo Federal A
Aug 2, 2026	Guillermo Brown(home)	2-0	Torneo Federal A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Germinal de Rawson win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Deportivo Rincon win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 22, 2025	Deportivo Rincon 2-0 Germinal de Rawson	Torneo Federal A
Apr 20, 2025	Germinal de Rawson 0-3 Deportivo Rincon	Torneo Federal A
Jul 14, 2024	Germinal de Rawson 0-0 Deportivo Rincon	Torneo Federal A
May 15, 2024	Deportivo Rincon 2-2 Germinal de Rawson	Torneo Federal A

Last archived meeting: Deportivo Rincon vs Germinal de Rawson on Jun 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Germinal de Rawson score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Rincon score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Germinal de Rawson	0.7	1.0	5	4/15	3/15
Deportivo Rincon	0.9	0.8	6	4/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Germinal de Rawson sit 4th in Torneo Federal A (15 points from 12 matches) and Deportivo Rincon sit 4th (16 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Deportivo Rincon	11	4	4	3	11	11	16
4	Germinal de Rawson	12	3	6	3	6	6	15
22	Deportivo Rincon	16	5	4	7	13	16	19
30	Germinal de Rawson	16	4	6	6	7	14	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon?: The Footlab model makes Germinal de Rawson the favourite at 40%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Deportivo Rincon.
Where and when is Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon played?: Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Fortín, in the Torneo Federal A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.