Match

Tucuman Central vs Boca Unidos: prediction and stats

Torneo Federal ALosers Stage - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)

Tucuman CentralBoca Unidos

The Footlab model makes Tucuman Central the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Boca Unidos. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tucuman Central vs Boca Unidos?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Tucuman Central (1,607) and Boca Unidos (1,668).

Tucuman Central win36 %
Draw30 %
Boca Unidos win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tucuman Central have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Boca Unidos have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tucuman Central
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Independiente De Chivilcoy(away)0-2Torneo Federal A
Aug 15, 2026Atletico Escobar(home)2-3Torneo Federal A
Aug 12, 2026Defensores de Vilelas(away)3-4Torneo Federal A
Aug 8, 2026El Linqueño(home)1-1Torneo Federal A
Aug 2, 2026Gimnasia Concepción(away)0-4Torneo Federal A
Boca Unidos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sportivo Las Parejas(home)1-0Torneo Federal A
Aug 16, 2026Sarmiento Resistencia(away)3-0Torneo Federal A
Aug 8, 2026Independiente De Chivilcoy(home)1-1Torneo Federal A
Aug 1, 2026Atletico Escobar(away)3-0Torneo Federal A
Jul 26, 2026Juventud Antoniana(home)0-3Torneo Federal A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tucuman Central win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Boca Unidos win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 21, 2026Tucuman Central 2-0 Boca UnidosTorneo Federal A
Apr 19, 2026Boca Unidos 3-1 Tucuman CentralTorneo Federal A

Last archived meeting: Tucuman Central vs Boca Unidos on Jun 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tucuman Central score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Boca Unidos score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tucuman Central1.01.736/155/15
Boca Unidos1.21.255/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tucuman Central sit 7th in Torneo Federal A (13 points from 11 matches) and Boca Unidos sit 5th (15 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Boca Unidos12435151715
7Tucuman Central11416101313
29Boca Unidos16538192518
32Tucuman Central16529141917

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tucuman Central vs Boca Unidos?
The Footlab model makes Tucuman Central the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Boca Unidos.
Where and when is Tucuman Central vs Boca Unidos played?
Tucuman Central vs Boca Unidos is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Torneo Federal A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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