Tucuman Central vs Boca Unidos: prediction and stats
Torneo Federal ALosers Stage - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Tucuman Central the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Boca Unidos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tucuman Central vs Boca Unidos?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Tucuman Central (1,607) and Boca Unidos (1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tucuman Central have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Boca Unidos have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Independiente De Chivilcoy(away) | 0-2 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Escobar(home) | 2-3 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Defensores de Vilelas(away) | 3-4 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | El Linqueño(home) | 1-1 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gimnasia Concepción(away) | 0-4 | Torneo Federal A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sportivo Las Parejas(home) | 1-0 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sarmiento Resistencia(away) | 3-0 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Independiente De Chivilcoy(home) | 1-1 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico Escobar(away) | 3-0 | Torneo Federal A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Juventud Antoniana(home) | 0-3 | Torneo Federal A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tucuman Central win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Boca Unidos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Tucuman Central 2-0 Boca Unidos | Torneo Federal A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Boca Unidos 3-1 Tucuman Central | Torneo Federal A |
Last archived meeting: Tucuman Central vs Boca Unidos on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tucuman Central score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Boca Unidos score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucuman Central | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Boca Unidos | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tucuman Central sit 7th in Torneo Federal A (13 points from 11 matches) and Boca Unidos sit 5th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Boca Unidos | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 7 | Tucuman Central | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
| 29 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | 18 |
| 32 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tucuman Central vs Boca Unidos?
- The Footlab model makes Tucuman Central the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Boca Unidos.
- Where and when is Tucuman Central vs Boca Unidos played?
- Tucuman Central vs Boca Unidos is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Torneo Federal A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 30, 2026SantamarinavsCirculo Deportivo
- Aug 30, 2026Sol de MayovsGuillermo Brown
- Aug 30, 2026Sportivo Las ParejasvsSarmiento Resistencia
- Aug 30, 2026Gimnasia ConcepciónvsIndependiente De Chivilcoy
- Aug 30, 2026Germinal de RawsonvsDeportivo Rincon
- Aug 30, 2026El LinqueñovsAtletico Escobar
- Aug 30, 2026San Martín MendozavsFundacion Amigos
- Aug 30, 2026Costa BravavsJuventud Unida Univ.