Where and when is Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy played?

Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Manuel y Ramón Núñez, in the Torneo Federal A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy: prediction and stats

Torneo Federal ALosers Stage - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel y Ramón Núñez, Concepción del Uruguay, Provincia de Entre Rios

Gimnasia Concepción

Independiente De Chivilcoy

The Footlab model makes Gimnasia Concepción the favourite at 49%, against 34% for a draw and 17% for Independiente De Chivilcoy. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Gimnasia Concepción (1,632) and Independiente De Chivilcoy (1,622).

Gimnasia Concepción win49 %

Draw34 %

Independiente De Chivilcoy win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnasia Concepción have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Independiente De Chivilcoy have 2, 8 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gimnasia Concepción
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Atletico Escobar(away)	2-0	Torneo Federal A
Aug 16, 2026	Defensores de Vilelas(home)	2-0	Torneo Federal A
Aug 12, 2026	El Linqueño(away)	0-0	Torneo Federal A
Aug 2, 2026	Tucuman Central(home)	4-0	Torneo Federal A
Jul 26, 2026	El Linqueño(home)	0-1	Torneo Federal A

Independiente De Chivilcoy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Tucuman Central(home)	2-0	Torneo Federal A
Aug 16, 2026	Sportivo Las Parejas(away)	0-0	Torneo Federal A
Aug 12, 2026	Sarmiento Resistencia(home)	1-2	Torneo Federal A
Aug 8, 2026	Boca Unidos(away)	1-1	Torneo Federal A
Jul 26, 2026	Sportivo Las Parejas(home)	1-1	Torneo Federal A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gimnasia Concepción win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Independiente De Chivilcoy win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 14, 2026	Independiente De Chivilcoy 0-0 Gimnasia Concepción	Torneo Federal A
Apr 11, 2026	Gimnasia Concepción 0-1 Independiente De Chivilcoy	Torneo Federal A
Jun 8, 2025	Gimnasia Concepción 3-0 Independiente De Chivilcoy	Torneo Federal A
Apr 6, 2025	Independiente De Chivilcoy 3-0 Gimnasia Concepción	Torneo Federal A
Sep 8, 2024	Independiente De Chivilcoy 3-2 Gimnasia Concepción	Torneo Federal A
Jun 1, 2024	Gimnasia Concepción 0-0 Independiente De Chivilcoy	Torneo Federal A

Last archived meeting: Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Concepción on Jun 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gimnasia Concepción score 1.0 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente De Chivilcoy score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gimnasia Concepción	1.0	0.3	12	1/15	3/15
Independiente De Chivilcoy	0.7	1.1	6	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gimnasia Concepción sit 9th in Torneo Federal A (13 points from 13 matches) and Independiente De Chivilcoy sit 6th (17 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Independiente De Chivilcoy	13	4	5	4	12	12	17
9	Gimnasia Concepción	13	3	4	6	8	14	13
25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	18	4	7	7	15	22	19
33	Gimnasia Concepción	18	4	5	9	12	18	17

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?: The Footlab model makes Gimnasia Concepción the favourite at 49%, against 34% for a draw and 17% for Independiente De Chivilcoy.
Where and when is Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy played?: Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Manuel y Ramón Núñez, in the Torneo Federal A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.