Getafe II vs A Madrid III: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Getafe - Campo 1, Getafe
The Footlab model makes Getafe II the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for A Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Getafe II vs A Madrid III?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Getafe II (1,902) and A Madrid III (1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Getafe II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; A Madrid III have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | SS Reyes II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Racing Madrid(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 5-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unión Adarve(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
How many goals should we expect?
Getafe II score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; A Madrid III score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe II | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| A Madrid III | 2.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Getafe II | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 35 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Getafe II vs A Madrid III?
- The Footlab model makes Getafe II the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for A Madrid III.
- Where and when is Getafe II vs A Madrid III played?
- Getafe II vs A Madrid III is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Getafe - Campo 1, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026NumanciavsConquense
- Dec 13, 2026CF TalaveravsNavalcarnero
- Dec 13, 2026Gimnástica SegovianavsAtlético Astorga
- Dec 13, 2026SS ReyesvsCalamocha
- Dec 13, 2026Real Valladolid IIvsSalamanca UDS
- Dec 13, 2026Atlético TordesillasvsRSD Alcalá
- Dec 13, 2026Calvo SotelovsAlbacete II
- Dec 13, 2026GuadalajaravsReal Ávila