Match

Getafe II vs A Madrid III: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Getafe - Campo 1, Getafe

Getafe IIA Madrid III

The Footlab model makes Getafe II the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for A Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Getafe II vs A Madrid III?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Getafe II (1,902) and A Madrid III (1,844).

Getafe II win49 %
Draw26 %
A Madrid III win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Getafe II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; A Madrid III have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Getafe II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026CF Talavera(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Alcorcon(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026UD Logroñés(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026UD Logroñés(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Orihuela(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
A Madrid III
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Móstoles(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026SS Reyes II(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026Racing Madrid(home)5-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Las Rozas(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026Unión Adarve(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

Getafe II score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; A Madrid III score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Getafe II1.31.065/157/15
A Madrid III2.11.4212/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Getafe II341699553557

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Getafe II vs A Madrid III?
The Footlab model makes Getafe II the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for A Madrid III.
Where and when is Getafe II vs A Madrid III played?
Getafe II vs A Madrid III is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Getafe - Campo 1, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Getafe II and A Madrid III

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