Where and when is Guadalajara vs Real Ávila played?

Guadalajara vs Real Ávila is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Escartín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Guadalajara vs Real Ávila: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara

Guadalajara

Real Ávila

The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Real Ávila. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guadalajara vs Real Ávila?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Guadalajara (1,881) and Real Ávila (1,890).

Guadalajara win43 %

Draw28 %

Real Ávila win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Real Ávila have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guadalajara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Marchamalo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Real Madrid II(home)	2-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Athletic Club II(away)	1-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2026	Arenteiro(home)	2-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026	Real Avilés(away)	2-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Real Ávila
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Unionistas de Salamanca(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	0-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Racing Santander II(away)	1-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026	Gimnástica Segoviana(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Ávila score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Guadalajara	1.5	1.3	4	9/15	7/15
Real Ávila	1.6	1.7	5	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guadalajara	34	22	8	4	60	22	74

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guadalajara vs Real Ávila?: The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Real Ávila.
Where and when is Guadalajara vs Real Ávila played?: Guadalajara vs Real Ávila is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Escartín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.