SS Reyes vs Calamocha: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, San Sebastián de los Reyes
The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Calamocha. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SS Reyes vs Calamocha?
SS Reyes starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,988 vs 1,885).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Reyes have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Calamocha have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cariñena(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 3, 2026 | Robres(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Huesca II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cuarte(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Illueca(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
SS Reyes score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Calamocha score 1.2 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Reyes | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Calamocha | 1.2 | 0.3 | 12 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SS Reyes | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 27 | 70 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SS Reyes vs Calamocha?
- The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Calamocha.
- Where and when is SS Reyes vs Calamocha played?
- SS Reyes vs Calamocha is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026NumanciavsConquense
- Dec 13, 2026CF TalaveravsNavalcarnero
- Dec 13, 2026Gimnástica SegovianavsAtlético Astorga
- Dec 13, 2026Getafe IIvsA Madrid III
- Dec 13, 2026Real Valladolid IIvsSalamanca UDS
- Dec 13, 2026Atlético TordesillasvsRSD Alcalá
- Dec 13, 2026Calvo SotelovsAlbacete II
- Dec 13, 2026GuadalajaravsReal Ávila