Numancia vs Conquense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria
The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Conquense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Numancia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Numancia vs Conquense?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Numancia (1,973) and Conquense (1,947).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Numancia vs Conquense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Numancia
4-3-3- 9Jony González
- 14Alejandro Gil Rochina
- 26C. Godson
- 8M. Gning
- 5O. De Frutos
- 6N. Lucas Rey
- 2Marcos Sánchez
- 16Carlos Gutiérrez
- 22Fermín Ruiz
- 4Ian Olivera
- 1M. Abad
Conquense
Not enough data to predict the Conquense lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Numancia have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Conquense have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guadalajara(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Numancia wins, 0 draws, 1 Conquense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2025 | Numancia 1-2 Conquense | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Numancia vs Conquense on Aug 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Numancia score 1.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Conquense score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numancia | 1.2 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Conquense | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Numancia sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (11 points from 5 matches) and Conquense sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Numancia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 | Conquense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Numancia vs Conquense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Numancia vs Conquense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Conquense.
- Where and when is Numancia vs Conquense played?
- Numancia vs Conquense is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 13, 2026Gimnástica SegovianavsAtlético Astorga
- Dec 13, 2026SS ReyesvsCalamocha
- Dec 13, 2026Getafe IIvsA Madrid III
- Dec 13, 2026Real Valladolid IIvsSalamanca UDS
- Dec 13, 2026Atlético TordesillasvsRSD Alcalá
- Dec 13, 2026Calvo SotelovsAlbacete II
- Dec 13, 2026GuadalajaravsReal Ávila