Gimnástica Segoviana vs Atlético Astorga: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 · Matchday 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, Segovia
The Footlab AI model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Atlético Astorga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gimnástica Segoviana wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 6,369 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Atlético Astorga?
On Elo ratings, Gimnástica Segoviana has 1,921 points and Atlético Astorga 1,926.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Atlético Astorga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gimnástica Segoviana
4-4-2- 23Sanchidrián
- 9D. Lorenzo
- 8Sergio Orviz
- 7J. Alvarez
- 14Fer Llorente
- 19Tito
- 21Alfredo Pedraza
- 2Luis Aguado
- 4H. Espierrez
- 5S. Lecea
- 13Arnau Rafús
Atlético Astorga
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Astorga lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 04:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Segoviana have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Atlético Astorga have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Albacete II(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 0-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Compostela(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Gimnástica Segoviana win, 3 draws, 1 Atlético Astorga win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Atlético Astorga 2-2 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Gimnástica Segoviana 1-1 Atlético Astorga | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 1, 2021 | Atlético Astorga 2-2 Gimnástica Segoviana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Gimnástica Segoviana 0-1 Atlético Astorga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Dec 22, 2019 | Gimnástica Segoviana 2-0 Atlético Astorga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Astorga vs Gimnástica Segoviana on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnástica Segoviana score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Astorga score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica Segoviana | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Atlético Astorga | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Gimnástica Segoviana | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
A question about Gimnástica Segoviana vs Atlético Astorga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Atlético Astorga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Atlético Astorga.
- Where and when is Gimnástica Segoviana vs Atlético Astorga played?
- Gimnástica Segoviana vs Atlético Astorga is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.