Gimnástica Segoviana vs Atlético Astorga: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, Segovia
The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Atlético Astorga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Atlético Astorga?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Gimnástica Segoviana (1,842) and Atlético Astorga (1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Segoviana have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Atlético Astorga have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | La Bañeza(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Gimnástica Segoviana win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Atlético Astorga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Atlético Astorga 2-2 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Gimnástica Segoviana 1-1 Atlético Astorga | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 1, 2021 | Atlético Astorga 2-2 Gimnástica Segoviana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Gimnástica Segoviana 0-1 Atlético Astorga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Dec 22, 2019 | Gimnástica Segoviana 2-0 Atlético Astorga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Astorga vs Gimnástica Segoviana on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Astorga score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica Segoviana | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Atlético Astorga | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Atlético Astorga?
- The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Atlético Astorga.
- Where and when is Gimnástica Segoviana vs Atlético Astorga played?
- Gimnástica Segoviana vs Atlético Astorga is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.