Getafe vs Celta Vigo: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Coliseum, Getafe
The Footlab model makes Getafe the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Celta Vigo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Getafe vs Celta Vigo?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Getafe (2,040) and Celta Vigo (2,110).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Getafe have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Celta Vigo have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Getafe win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Celta Vigo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Getafe 0-0 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Celta Vigo 0-2 Getafe | La Liga |
| May 24, 2025 | Getafe 1-2 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Celta Vigo 1-0 Getafe | La Liga |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Getafe 3-2 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Celta Vigo 2-2 Getafe | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Getafe score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Getafe vs Celta Vigo?
- The Footlab model makes Getafe the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Celta Vigo.
- Where and when is Getafe vs Celta Vigo played?
- Getafe vs Celta Vigo is played on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Coliseum, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.