Real Betis vs Real Madrid: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla, Sevilla
The Footlab model makes Real Madrid the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Real Betis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (2,340 vs 2,176).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Betis have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Real Madrid have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Espanyol(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fiorentina(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Real Betis win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Real Madrid win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Real Betis 1-1 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Real Madrid 5-1 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Real Betis 2-1 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Real Madrid 2-0 Real Betis | La Liga |
| May 25, 2024 | Real Madrid 0-0 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Real Betis 1-1 Real Madrid | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Real Betis vs Real Madrid on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Betis score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Madrid | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Betis sit 6th in La Liga (3 points from 1 matches) and Real Madrid sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
- The Footlab model makes Real Madrid the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Real Betis.
- Where and when is Real Betis vs Real Madrid played?
- Real Betis vs Real Madrid is played on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.