Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Prato: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Carraia, Coreglia Antelminelli
The Footlab AI model makes Prato the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Prato?
Prato starts as the favourite with a 248-point Elo edge (1,880 vs 1,633).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Prato
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Not enough data to predict the Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano lineup.
Prato
Not enough data to predict the Prato lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Prato have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mezzolara(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Ternana(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Flaminia(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gavorrano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano wins, 1 draw, 5 Prato wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Prato 2-1 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0-3 Prato | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Prato 2-1 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 6, 2022 | Prato 1-1 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 1-2 Prato | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 1-3 Prato | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Prato vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano score 0.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Prato score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Prato | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano sit 17th in Serie D - Girone E (3 points from 10 matches) and Prato sit 1st (22 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 22 |
| 17 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 3 |
A question about Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Prato?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Prato?
- The Footlab AI model makes Prato the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano.
- Where and when is Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Prato played?
- Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Prato is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Carraia, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.