Where and when is Grassina vs Mezzolara played?

Grassina vs Mezzolara is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio di Grassina, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Grassina vs Mezzolara: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio di Grassina, Bagno a Ripoli

Grassina

Mezzolara

The Footlab model makes Grassina the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Mezzolara. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Grassina vs Mezzolara?

Grassina starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,561).

Grassina win57 %

Draw26 %

Mezzolara win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grassina have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Mezzolara have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Grassina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2020	Aglianese(away)	3-3	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 23, 2020	Gavorrano(away)	0-2	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 16, 2020	Flaminia(home)	2-0	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 9, 2020	Cannara(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 2, 2020	Scandicci(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E

Mezzolara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 5, 2024	Progresso(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 28, 2024	Forli(away)	0-2	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 21, 2024	Sammaurese(home)	3-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 14, 2024	Aglianese(home)	0-0	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 7, 2024	Sangiuliano City(away)	1-2	Serie D - Girone D

How many goals should we expect?

Grassina score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mezzolara score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Grassina	1.5	1.1	5	8/15	7/15
Mezzolara	0.8	1.5	4	6/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Grassina vs Mezzolara?: The Footlab model makes Grassina the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Mezzolara.
Where and when is Grassina vs Mezzolara played?: Grassina vs Mezzolara is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio di Grassina, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.