Match

Robur Siena vs Lucchese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, Siena

Robur SienaLucchese

The Footlab model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Lucchese. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Robur Siena vs Lucchese?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Robur Siena (1,755) and Lucchese (1,735).

Robur Siena win45 %
Draw29 %
Lucchese win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Robur Siena have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Lucchese have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Robur Siena
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026San Donato Tavarnelle(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026Scandicci(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Prato(away)1-3Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026Sporting Trestina(home)4-4Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Camaiore(away)5-2Serie D - Girone E
Lucchese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2025Sestri Levante(home)1-0Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
May 10, 2025Sestri Levante(away)1-2Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2025Torres(home)3-2Serie C - Girone B
Apr 23, 2025Arezzo(away)1-4Serie C - Girone B
Apr 13, 2025Vis Pesaro(home)1-0Serie C - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Robur Siena win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Lucchese win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2023Lucchese 1-1 Robur SienaSerie C - Girone B
Nov 13, 2022Robur Siena 0-1 LuccheseSerie C - Girone B
Mar 27, 2022Robur Siena 1-1 LuccheseSerie C - Girone B
Nov 21, 2021Lucchese 1-0 Robur SienaSerie C - Girone B
Mar 16, 2019Robur Siena 1-0 LuccheseSerie C - Girone A
Nov 18, 2018Lucchese 2-3 Robur SienaSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Lucchese vs Robur Siena on Mar 14, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Robur Siena score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lucchese score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Robur Siena2.61.4411/1510/15
Lucchese1.71.6411/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Robur Siena341798573560

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Robur Siena vs Lucchese?
The Footlab model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Lucchese.
Where and when is Robur Siena vs Lucchese played?
Robur Siena vs Lucchese is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Robur Siena and Lucchese

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