Robur Siena vs Lucchese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, Siena
The Footlab model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Lucchese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Robur Siena vs Lucchese?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Robur Siena (1,755) and Lucchese (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Robur Siena have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Lucchese have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Scandicci(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Prato(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 4-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Camaiore(away) | 5-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Sestri Levante(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2025 | Sestri Levante(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Torres(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Arezzo(away) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Robur Siena win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Lucchese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | Lucchese 1-1 Robur Siena | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Robur Siena 0-1 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Robur Siena 1-1 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Lucchese 1-0 Robur Siena | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Robur Siena 1-0 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 18, 2018 | Lucchese 2-3 Robur Siena | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Lucchese vs Robur Siena on Mar 14, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Robur Siena score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lucchese score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robur Siena | 2.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Lucchese | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Robur Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Robur Siena vs Lucchese?
- The Footlab model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Lucchese.
- Where and when is Robur Siena vs Lucchese played?
- Robur Siena vs Lucchese is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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