Robur Siena vs Lucchese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, Siena
The Footlab AI model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Lucchese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Robur Siena wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Robur Siena vs Lucchese?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Robur Siena (1,717) and Lucchese (1,695).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Robur Siena vs Lucchese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Robur Siena
4-3-3- 7F. Disanto
- 9A. Paloschi
- 14M. Meli
- 55G. Leone
- 10N. Belloni
- 15R. Collodel
- 3A. Favalli
- 13L. Crescenzi
- 6D. Riccardi
- 2A. Raimo
- 1I. Lanni
Lucchese
4-3-3- 9S. Magnaghi
- 70E. Saporiti
- 10A. Selvini
- 21E. Visconti
- 27R. Gucher
- 96G. Galli
- 5S. Benedetti
- 29E. Antoni
- 30A. Gemignani
- 3N. Rizzo
- 59R. Melgrati
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Robur Siena have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Lucchese have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Progresso(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Flaminia(away) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ternana(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Grassina(away) | 6-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rondinella(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Robur Siena win, 2 draws, 3 Lucchese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lucchese 3-2 Robur Siena | Serie D - Girone E |
| Mar 14, 2023 | Lucchese 1-1 Robur Siena | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Robur Siena 0-1 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Robur Siena 1-1 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Lucchese 1-0 Robur Siena | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Robur Siena 1-0 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Lucchese vs Robur Siena on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Robur Siena score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lucchese score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robur Siena | 2.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Lucchese | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Robur Siena sit 8th in Serie D - Girone E (10 points from 6 matches) and Lucchese sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lucchese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 13 |
| 8 | Robur Siena | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
A question about Robur Siena vs Lucchese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Robur Siena vs Lucchese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Lucchese.
- Where and when is Robur Siena vs Lucchese played?
- Robur Siena vs Lucchese is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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- Jan 31, 2027GrassinavsMezzolara
- Jan 31, 2027San Donato TavarnellevsFlaminia
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