Where and when is Flaminia vs Gavorrano played?

Flaminia vs Gavorrano is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Turiddu Madami, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Flaminia vs Gavorrano: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Turiddu Madami, Civita Castellana

Flaminia

Gavorrano

The Footlab model makes Flaminia the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Gavorrano. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Flaminia vs Gavorrano?

Flaminia starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,756 vs 1,644).

Flaminia win52 %

Draw27 %

Gavorrano win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flaminia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Gavorrano have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Flaminia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 26, 2026	Lazio(away)	0-6	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Monastir(away)	3-3	Serie D - Girone G
May 3, 2026	Montespaccato(away)	4-2	Serie D - Girone G
Apr 26, 2026	Budoni(home)	0-1	Serie D - Girone G
Apr 19, 2026	Nocerina(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone G

Gavorrano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Camaiore(home)	3-2	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	Tau Altopascio(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Scandicci(away)	3-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Orvietana Calcio(home)	0-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026	Sporting Trestina(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Flaminia win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gavorrano win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 2, 2025	Flaminia 1-2 Gavorrano	Serie D - Girone E
Oct 6, 2024	Gavorrano 1-2 Flaminia	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 25, 2023	Flaminia 0-1 Gavorrano	Serie D - Girone E
Oct 23, 2022	Gavorrano 3-3 Flaminia	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 27, 2022	Flaminia 3-1 Gavorrano	Serie D - Girone E
Dec 12, 2021	Gavorrano 1-0 Flaminia	Serie D - Girone E

Last archived meeting: Flaminia vs Gavorrano on Feb 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Flaminia score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gavorrano score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Flaminia	1.6	1.4	4	9/15	7/15
Gavorrano	1.1	1.4	2	9/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Gavorrano	34	9	10	15	36	49	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Flaminia vs Gavorrano?: The Footlab model makes Flaminia the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Gavorrano.
Where and when is Flaminia vs Gavorrano played?: Flaminia vs Gavorrano is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Turiddu Madami, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.