Terranuova Traiana vs Prato: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini, Terranuova Bracciolini
The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 31% for Terranuova Traiana. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Terranuova Traiana vs Prato?
Prato starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,786 vs 1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Terranuova Traiana have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Prato have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Orvietana Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Camaiore(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 10, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Terranuova Traiana win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Prato win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Prato 1-0 Terranuova Traiana | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Terranuova Traiana 2-1 Prato | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Prato vs Terranuova Traiana on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Terranuova Traiana score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Prato score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terranuova Traiana | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Prato | 1.6 | 0.6 | 10 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Terranuova Traiana sit 7th in Serie D - Girone E (51 points from 34 matches) and Prato sit 2nd (63 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 29 | 63 |
| 7 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 30 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Terranuova Traiana vs Prato?
- The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 31% for Terranuova Traiana.
- Where and when is Terranuova Traiana vs Prato played?
- Terranuova Traiana vs Prato is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.