Match

Tau Altopascio vs Gavorrano: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Altopascio, Altopascio

Tau AltopascioGavorrano

The Footlab model makes Tau Altopascio the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Gavorrano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tau Altopascio vs Gavorrano?

Tau Altopascio starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,644).

Tau Altopascio win57 %
Draw24 %
Gavorrano win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tau Altopascio have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gavorrano have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tau Altopascio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Seravezza(home)0-2Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026Gavorrano(away)2-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Terranuova Traiana(home)3-2Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026Poggibonsi(away)0-0Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026Cannara(home)1-0Serie D - Girone E
Gavorrano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Camaiore(home)3-2Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026Tau Altopascio(home)1-2Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Scandicci(away)3-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026Orvietana Calcio(home)0-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026Sporting Trestina(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tau Altopascio win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gavorrano win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Gavorrano 1-2 Tau AltopascioSerie D - Girone E
Dec 21, 2025Tau Altopascio 6-1 GavorranoSerie D - Girone E
May 12, 2024Gavorrano 1-3 Tau AltopascioSerie D - Promotion - Play-offs
Mar 3, 2024Tau Altopascio 0-1 GavorranoSerie D - Girone E
Oct 28, 2023Gavorrano 1-0 Tau AltopascioSerie D - Girone E
Sep 3, 2023Gavorrano 2-2 Tau AltopascioCoppa Italia Serie D

Last archived meeting: Gavorrano vs Tau Altopascio on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tau Altopascio score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gavorrano score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tau Altopascio1.31.338/157/15
Gavorrano1.11.429/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tau Altopascio sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone E (63 points from 34 matches) and Gavorrano sit 14th (37 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Tau Altopascio341897533363
14Gavorrano3491015364937

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tau Altopascio vs Gavorrano?
The Footlab model makes Tau Altopascio the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Gavorrano.
Where and when is Tau Altopascio vs Gavorrano played?
Tau Altopascio vs Gavorrano is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Altopascio, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tau Altopascio and Gavorrano

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