Ternana vs Montevarchi Calcio: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
Full time
What was the result of Ternana vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Ternana won 4-1 on October 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 30′S. PettinariTernana
- 35′F. DaneseTernana
- 45′630726Montevarchi Calcio
- 90′L. LiurniTernana
- 90′L. LiurniTernana
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Ternana win at 56%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ternana have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Montevarchi Calcio have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Mezzolara(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gavorrano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Prato(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Progresso(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Ternana win, 0 draws, 0 Montevarchi Calcio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2022 | Montevarchi Calcio 0-4 Ternana | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Montevarchi Calcio vs Ternana on Jul 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Ternana score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Montevarchi Calcio score 0.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ternana | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ternana sit 9th in Serie D - Girone E (8 points from 6 matches) and Montevarchi Calcio sit 12th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ternana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 12 | Montevarchi Calcio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Ternana vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Terranuova Traiana1-1Prato
- Oct 4, 2026Robur Siena2-1Seravezza
- Oct 4, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano0-1Tau Altopascio
- Oct 4, 2026Sasso Marconi Zola0-2Scandicci
- Oct 4, 2026Flaminia1-1Gavorrano
- Oct 4, 2026Grassina3-6Lucchese
- Oct 4, 2026San Donato Tavarnelle1-1Mezzolara
- Oct 4, 2026Rondinella2-1Progresso