Gicumbi vs Marines: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gicumbi Stadium, Byumba
The Footlab AI model makes Marines the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Gicumbi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marines wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gicumbi vs Marines?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Gicumbi (1,573) and Marines (1,657).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gicumbi vs Marines
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gicumbi
Not enough data to predict the Gicumbi lineup.
Marines
Not enough data to predict the Marines lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gicumbi have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Marines have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | AS Kigali(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Amagaju(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Police(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 31, 2026 | APR(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | APR(away) | 2-4 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AS Kigali(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Muhanga(home) | 3-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 24, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gicumbi win, 1 draw, 4 Marines wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Marines 1-1 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Gicumbi 1-0 Marines | National Soccer League |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Marines 2-1 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
| Dec 11, 2021 | Gicumbi 0-1 Marines | National Soccer League |
| Jan 5, 2020 | Gicumbi 1-2 Marines | National Soccer League |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Marines 2-0 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gicumbi score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Marines score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gicumbi | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Marines | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gicumbi sit 1st in National Soccer League (9 points from 4 matches) and Marines sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gicumbi | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Marines | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
A question about Gicumbi vs Marines?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gicumbi vs Marines?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marines the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Gicumbi.
- Where and when is Gicumbi vs Marines played?
- Gicumbi vs Marines is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gicumbi Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.