Gillingham vs Salford City: prediction and stats
League TwoMatchday 45Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Salford City the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Gillingham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Salford City wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,777 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gillingham vs Salford City?
Salford City starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,782 vs 1,623).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gillingham vs Salford City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gillingham
3-4-3- 10Ronan Hale
- 24H. Waldock
- 11L. Sillah
- 16J. Brophy
- 22N. Freeman
- 6E. Coleman
- 3Conor McManus
- 19O. Beckles
- 5A. Smith
- 26L. Dobbs
- 1O. Wright
Salford City
3-4-2-1- 9M. Langstaff
- 16E. Bonds
- 43L. Molyneux
- 44B. Sarpong-Wiredu
- 14A. Odoh
- 29L. Garbutt
- 7B. Woodburn
- 17D. Scarr
- 24T. Allen
- 4W. Aimson
- 1W. Norris
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gillingham have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Salford City have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gillingham wins, 2 draws, 1 Salford City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Salford City 0-0 Gillingham | League Two |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Gillingham 1-2 Salford City | League Two |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Salford City 2-2 Gillingham | League Two |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Gillingham 1-0 Salford City | League Two |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Salford City 0-2 Gillingham | League Two |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Gillingham 3-1 Salford City | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Salford City vs Gillingham on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gillingham score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Salford City score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillingham | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Salford City | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gillingham sit 8th in League Two (20 points from 14 matches) and Salford City sit 1st (31 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 31 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 20 |
A question about Gillingham vs Salford City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gillingham vs Salford City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Salford City the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Gillingham.
- Where and when is Gillingham vs Salford City played?
- Gillingham vs Salford City is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Priestfield Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.