Crawley Town vs Exeter City: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 45Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Broadfield Stadium, Crawley, West Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Exeter City the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Exeter City wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Exeter City?
Exeter City starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,681).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crawley Town vs Exeter City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crawley Town
4-4-2- 9D. Orsi
- 8L. Watson
- 20J. Arthurs
- 22A. Adeyemo
- 30Kai Jennings
- 10S. Duke-McKenna
- 6P. Farquharson
- 24A. Odimayo
- 5C. Barker
- 12L. Richards
- 1V. Mannone
Exeter City
4-2-3-1- 10J. Gordon
- 16C. Cummins
- 31J. Doyle-Hayes
- 8T. Perry
- 20George Birch
- 25A. Scully
- 5J. Fitzwater
- 3L. Woodhouse
- 2L. Samuel
- 6J. Taylor
- 1J. Bycroft
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crawley Town have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Exeter City have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 4-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Crawley Town wins, 1 draw, 3 Exeter City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2025 | Crawley Town 3-1 Exeter City | League One |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Exeter City 4-4 Crawley Town | League One |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Exeter City 2-1 Crawley Town | League Cup |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Exeter City 2-1 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Crawley Town 1-3 Exeter City | League Two |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Crawley Town 2-0 Exeter City | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Crawley Town vs Exeter City on Apr 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Crawley Town score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Exeter City score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Exeter City | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crawley Town sit 24th in League Two (5 points from 8 matches) and Exeter City sit 14th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Exeter City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 5 |
A question about Crawley Town vs Exeter City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crawley Town vs Exeter City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Exeter City the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Crawley Town vs Exeter City played?
- Crawley Town vs Exeter City is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Broadfield Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.