Chesterfield vs Swindon Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 45Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Swindon Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chesterfield wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,136 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Swindon Town?
On Elo ratings, Chesterfield has 1,747 points and Swindon Town 1,697.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chesterfield vs Swindon Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1- 10L. Bonis
- 20G. McEachran
- 37J. Koroma
- 18L. Marsh
- 7L. Mandeville
- 24D. Markanday
- 6J. Simpson
- 33R. Hutton
- 15A. Pond
- 19L. Gordon
- 1Z. Hemming
Swindon Town
3-4-2-1- 23A. Drinan
- 25J. Thomson
- 2M. Clark
- 24M. Virtue-Thick
- 19J. Snowdon
- 26D. Butler
- 7T. Nichols
- 6J. Ball
- 5S. Negru
- 34B. Kirkman
- 1C. Ripley
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 01:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesterfield have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Swindon Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 4-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 5-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chesterfield wins, 2 draws, 2 Swindon Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Swindon Town 1-2 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Chesterfield 1-2 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Swindon Town 1-0 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Chesterfield 1-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Feb 24, 2018 | Chesterfield 2-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Swindon Town 2-2 Chesterfield | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Swindon Town vs Chesterfield on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chesterfield score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesterfield sit 10th in League Two (19 points from 14 matches) and Swindon Town sit 13th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
A question about Chesterfield vs Swindon Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesterfield vs Swindon Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Swindon Town.
- Where and when is Chesterfield vs Swindon Town played?
- Chesterfield vs Swindon Town is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at SMH Group Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.