Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 10Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario, Provincia de Santa Fe
The Footlab model makes Rosario Central the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Argentinos JRS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Rosario Central (1,956) and Argentinos JRS (1,972).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rosario Central have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Argentinos JRS have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Corinthians(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Barracas Central(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aldosivi(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | River Plate(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | River Plate(away) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing Club(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(home) | 3-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin(away) | 3-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rosario Central win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Argentinos JRS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Argentinos JRS 0-0 Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| May 11, 2024 | Argentinos JRS 3-2 Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 20, 2024 | Argentinos JRS 3-0 Rosario Central | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Rosario Central 3-1 Argentinos JRS | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Jan 26, 2023 | Rosario Central 1-0 Argentinos JRS | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 8, 2022 | Argentinos JRS 2-1 Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Argentinos JRS vs Rosario Central on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rosario Central score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Argentinos JRS score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosario Central | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Argentinos JRS | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rosario Central sit 4th in Liga Profesional Argentina (28 points from 16 matches) and Argentinos JRS sit 3rd (29 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos JRS | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS?
- The Footlab model makes Rosario Central the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Argentinos JRS.
- Where and when is Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS played?
- Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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