Zaragoza vs Real Murcia: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Romareda, Zaragoza
The Footlab model makes Zaragoza the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Real Murcia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaragoza vs Real Murcia?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Zaragoza (1,856) and Real Murcia (1,931).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaragoza have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Real Murcia have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Villarreal II(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Zaragoza win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Real Murcia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2023 | Zaragoza 1-0 Real Murcia | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Zaragoza vs Real Murcia on Jul 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Zaragoza score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Murcia score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Murcia | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Real Murcia | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 43 | 40 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaragoza vs Real Murcia?
- The Footlab model makes Zaragoza the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Real Murcia.
- Where and when is Zaragoza vs Real Murcia played?
- Zaragoza vs Real Murcia is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Romareda, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.