Real Madrid II vs Algeciras: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 · Matchday 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Real Madrid II the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Algeciras. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Madrid II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,019 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Madrid II vs Algeciras?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Real Madrid II (2,048) and Algeciras (1,981).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Madrid II vs Algeciras
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Madrid II
4-3-3- 19A. Carvajal
- 11Ávaro Leiva
- 17A. Ciria
- 6J. Cestero Sancho
- 10Pol Fortuny
- 20R. Martin
- 2Jesús Fortea
- 3Diego Aguado
- 21O. Naasei
- 5J. Martinez
- 13Javier Navarro
Algeciras
4-3-3- 9R. Rubio
- 7Juanma García
- 18Pau Martínez
- 20Jony Álamo
- 19Diego Iglesias
- 6Óscar Castro
- 3J. Marquez
- 4Aleix Coch
- 11Tomás Sánchez
- 2Fran Carmona
- 1Iván Moreno
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 10:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid II have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Algeciras have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Gimnastic(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Algeciras(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Antequera(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Real Murcia(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Europa Fc(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Madrid II wins, 1 draw, 3 Algeciras wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Algeciras 2-0 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Algeciras 1-4 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Real Madrid II 1-1 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Algeciras 3-0 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Real Madrid II 1-2 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 27, 2023 | Algeciras 0-1 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Algeciras vs Real Madrid II on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid II score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Algeciras score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid II | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Algeciras | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Madrid II sit 5th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (19 points from 12 matches) and Algeciras sit 13th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Madrid II | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Algeciras | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
A question about Real Madrid II vs Algeciras?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Madrid II vs Algeciras?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Madrid II the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Algeciras.
- Where and when is Real Madrid II vs Algeciras played?
- Real Madrid II vs Algeciras is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.