Gimnástica Segoviana vs Navalcarnero: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, Segovia
The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Navalcarnero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Navalcarnero?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Gimnástica Segoviana (1,842) and Navalcarnero (1,860).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Segoviana have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Navalcarnero have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gimnástica Segoviana win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Navalcarnero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | Gimnástica Segoviana 0-0 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Navalcarnero 2-2 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Gimnástica Segoviana 0-1 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Navalcarnero 0-0 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Navalcarnero 4-2 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Gimnástica Segoviana 3-1 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gimnástica Segoviana vs Navalcarnero on Jan 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Navalcarnero score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica Segoviana | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Navalcarnero | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 42 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Navalcarnero?
- The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Navalcarnero.
- Where and when is Gimnástica Segoviana vs Navalcarnero played?
- Gimnástica Segoviana vs Navalcarnero is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.