Guadalajara vs Calvo Sotelo: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara
The Footlab AI model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Calvo Sotelo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guadalajara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,599 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guadalajara vs Calvo Sotelo?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Guadalajara (1,889) and Calvo Sotelo (1,879).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guadalajara vs Calvo Sotelo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guadalajara
Not enough data to predict the Guadalajara lineup.
Calvo Sotelo
Not enough data to predict the Calvo Sotelo lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Calvo Sotelo have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 4-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Guadalajara(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Guadalajara wins, 1 draw, 0 Calvo Sotelo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo 1-2 Guadalajara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Calvo Sotelo 1-1 Guadalajara | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Guadalajara 1-0 Calvo Sotelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Calvo Sotelo vs Guadalajara on Nov 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guadalajara score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Calvo Sotelo score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Calvo Sotelo | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guadalajara sit 11th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (9 points from 8 matches) and Calvo Sotelo sit 16th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Guadalajara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 9 |
| 16 | Calvo Sotelo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Guadalajara vs Calvo Sotelo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guadalajara vs Calvo Sotelo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Calvo Sotelo.
- Where and when is Guadalajara vs Calvo Sotelo played?
- Guadalajara vs Calvo Sotelo is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Escartín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 7, 2027Salamanca UDSvsA Madrid III
- Mar 7, 2027RSD AlcalávsNumancia
- Mar 7, 2027Atlético TordesillasvsAtlético Astorga
- Mar 7, 2027Real ÁvilavsAlbacete II
- Mar 7, 2027CalamochavsSS Reyes