Where and when is Guadalajara vs Calvo Sotelo played?

Guadalajara vs Calvo Sotelo is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Escartín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Guadalajara vs Calvo Sotelo: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara

Guadalajara

Calvo Sotelo

The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Calvo Sotelo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guadalajara vs Calvo Sotelo?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Guadalajara (1,881) and Calvo Sotelo (1,938).

Guadalajara win37 %

Draw28 %

Calvo Sotelo win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Calvo Sotelo have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guadalajara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Marchamalo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Real Madrid II(home)	2-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Athletic Club II(away)	1-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2026	Arenteiro(home)	2-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026	Real Avilés(away)	2-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Calvo Sotelo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	La Solana(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 3, 2026	Toledo(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 26, 2026	Cazalegas(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 19, 2026	Huracán Balazote(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 12, 2026	Guadalajara II(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Guadalajara win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Calvo Sotelo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 2, 2020	Calvo Sotelo 1-1 Guadalajara	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Sep 14, 2019	Guadalajara 1-0 Calvo Sotelo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

Last archived meeting: Calvo Sotelo vs Guadalajara on Feb 2, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Calvo Sotelo score 1.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Guadalajara	1.5	1.3	4	9/15	7/15
Calvo Sotelo	1.7	0.6	8	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guadalajara	34	22	8	4	60	22	74

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guadalajara vs Calvo Sotelo?: The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Calvo Sotelo.
Where and when is Guadalajara vs Calvo Sotelo played?: Guadalajara vs Calvo Sotelo is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Escartín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.