Salamanca UDS vs A Madrid III: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Helmántico, Salamanca
The Footlab model makes Salamanca UDS the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for A Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salamanca UDS vs A Madrid III?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Salamanca UDS (1,874) and A Madrid III (1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salamanca UDS have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; A Madrid III have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Lealtad(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | SS Reyes II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Racing Madrid(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 5-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unión Adarve(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
How many goals should we expect?
Salamanca UDS score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; A Madrid III score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salamanca UDS | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| A Madrid III | 2.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salamanca UDS vs A Madrid III?
- The Footlab model makes Salamanca UDS the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for A Madrid III.
- Where and when is Salamanca UDS vs A Madrid III played?
- Salamanca UDS vs A Madrid III is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Helmántico, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.