Atlético Astorga vs Gimnástica Segoviana: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Eragudina, Astorga
The Footlab model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Gimnástica Segoviana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Atlético Astorga (1,892) and Gimnástica Segoviana (1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Astorga have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gimnástica Segoviana have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | La Bañeza(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Atlético Astorga win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Gimnástica Segoviana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Atlético Astorga 2-2 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Gimnástica Segoviana 1-1 Atlético Astorga | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 1, 2021 | Atlético Astorga 2-2 Gimnástica Segoviana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Gimnástica Segoviana 0-1 Atlético Astorga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Dec 22, 2019 | Gimnástica Segoviana 2-0 Atlético Astorga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Astorga vs Gimnástica Segoviana on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Astorga score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Astorga | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Gimnástica Segoviana | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Astorga vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Gimnástica Segoviana.
- Where and when is Atlético Astorga vs Gimnástica Segoviana played?
- Atlético Astorga vs Gimnástica Segoviana is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Eragudina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.