Match

Gimnástica Segoviana vs CF Talavera: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, Segovia

Gimnástica SegovianaCF Talavera

The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for CF Talavera. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs CF Talavera?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Gimnástica Segoviana (1,842) and CF Talavera (1,898).

Gimnástica Segoviana win40 %
Draw28 %
CF Talavera win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Segoviana have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; CF Talavera have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gimnástica Segoviana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Atlético Madrid II(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Valladolid(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
CF Talavera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Getafe II(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026Illescas(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Cacereño(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Ourense CF(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026Osasuna II(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Gimnástica Segoviana win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 CF Talavera win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 24, 2024CF Talavera 1-0 Gimnástica SegovianaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 12, 2023Gimnástica Segoviana 0-1 CF TalaveraSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Mar 5, 2023Gimnástica Segoviana 3-0 CF TalaveraSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 16, 2022CF Talavera 4-2 Gimnástica SegovianaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: CF Talavera vs Gimnástica Segoviana on Mar 24, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; CF Talavera score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gimnástica Segoviana0.81.336/156/15
CF Talavera0.90.949/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3CF Talavera341996502766

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Segoviana vs CF Talavera?
The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for CF Talavera.
Where and when is Gimnástica Segoviana vs CF Talavera played?
Gimnástica Segoviana vs CF Talavera is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Gimnástica Segoviana and CF Talavera

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