Girona vs Albacete: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
The Footlab model makes Girona the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Albacete. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Girona vs Albacete?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Girona (2,019) and Albacete (1,972).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Girona have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Albacete have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimnastic(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Levante(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Girona win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Albacete win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2021 | Girona 2-1 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Albacete 0-2 Girona | Segunda División |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Girona 1-1 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Aug 23, 2019 | Albacete 1-0 Girona | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Girona score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Albacete score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
| Albacete | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Girona sit 16th in Segunda División (1 points from 2 matches) and Albacete sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Girona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Albacete | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Girona vs Albacete?
- The Footlab model makes Girona the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Albacete.
- Where and when is Girona vs Albacete played?
- Girona vs Albacete is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.