Sporting Gijon vs Albacete: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal El Molinón, Gijón
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Albacete. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Gijon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?
On Elo ratings, Sporting Gijon has 1,902 points and Albacete 1,841.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Gijon vs Albacete
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Gijon
4-4-2- 19J. Otero
- 17Antonio Casas
- 14Álex Corredera
- 8M. Rodriguez
- 10César Gelabert
- 20N. Iosifov
- 2Guille Rosas
- 24Aimar Duñabeitia
- 44Andrés Cuenca
- 15Pablo Vázquez
- 1Rubén Yáñez
Albacete
4-4-2- 9Mario Soberón
- 10Róber
- 17José Corpas
- 6Antonio Pacheco
- 11Víctor Valverde
- 8Javi Villar
- 21Carlos Neva
- 22Lluís López
- 4Agus Medina
- 15Fran Gámez
- 1Carlos Marín
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Gijon have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Albacete have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Girona(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Girona(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Castellón(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sporting Gijon wins, 2 draws, 2 Albacete wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Albacete 1-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 3-4 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 0-2 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Albacete 3-3 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Sporting Gijon 2-1 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Albacete 1-3 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Albacete vs Sporting Gijon on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Gijon score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Albacete score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Albacete | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Gijon sit 8th in Segunda División (13 points from 8 matches) and Albacete sit 22nd (1 point from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 22 | Albacete | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 1 |
A question about Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Albacete.
- Where and when is Sporting Gijon vs Albacete played?
- Sporting Gijon vs Albacete is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.