Tenerife vs Cadiz: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz, Santa Cruz de Tenerife (Tenerife)
The Footlab model makes Tenerife the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Cadiz. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tenerife vs Cadiz?
Tenerife starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (2,035 vs 1,841).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tenerife have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Cadiz have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Marino(away) | 6-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tenerife win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Cadiz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tenerife 2-2 Cadiz | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Tenerife 2-1 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Cadiz 2-2 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Jun 27, 2020 | Cadiz 0-2 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Tenerife 1-1 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Cadiz 2-0 Tenerife | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Tenerife score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cadiz score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Cadiz | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tenerife sit 5th in Segunda División (3 points from 1 matches) and Cadiz sit 11th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tenerife | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Cadiz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tenerife vs Cadiz?
- The Footlab model makes Tenerife the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Cadiz.
- Where and when is Tenerife vs Cadiz played?
- Tenerife vs Cadiz is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.