Plymouth Parkway vs Yate Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Manadon Sports Hub, Plymouth, Devon
The Footlab model makes Plymouth Parkway the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plymouth Parkway vs Yate Town?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Plymouth Parkway (1,812) and Yate Town (1,811).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth Parkway have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Yate Town have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 7-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Plymouth Parkway win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Yate Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway 1-0 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Yate Town 2-1 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Plymouth Parkway 2-1 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 11, 2022 | Yate Town 4-0 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Plymouth Parkway vs Yate Town on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth Parkway | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plymouth Parkway sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Yate Town sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plymouth Parkway vs Yate Town?
- The Footlab model makes Plymouth Parkway the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Yate Town.
- Where and when is Plymouth Parkway vs Yate Town played?
- Plymouth Parkway vs Yate Town is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Manadon Sports Hub, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Havant & WvillevsHanworth Villa
- Oct 17, 2026BerkhamstedvsBasingstoke Town
- Oct 17, 2026Bracknell TownvsChichester City
- Oct 17, 2026Evesham UnitedvsTaunton Town
- Oct 17, 2026Hanwell TownvsWimborne Town
- Oct 17, 2026SholingvsUxbridge
- Oct 17, 2026Gosport BoroughvsChertsey Town
- Oct 17, 2026Chippenham TownvsPoole Town