Gloucester City vs Malvern Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)New Meadow Park, Gloucester, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,588 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gloucester City vs Malvern Town?
Gloucester City starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,920 vs 1,782).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gloucester City vs Malvern Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gloucester City
Not enough data to predict the Gloucester City lineup.
Malvern Town
Not enough data to predict the Malvern Town lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gloucester City have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Malvern Town have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mulbarton Wanderers(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stafford Rangers(home) | 4-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Gloucester City win, 0 draws, 1 Malvern Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Malvern Town 5-2 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Malvern Town 0-1 Gloucester City | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Malvern Town vs Gloucester City on Sep 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gloucester City score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.4 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloucester City | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Malvern Town | 1.4 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gloucester City sit 20th in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 10 matches) and Malvern Town sit 19th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Malvern Town | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 11 |
| 20 | Gloucester City | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 10 |
A question about Gloucester City vs Malvern Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gloucester City vs Malvern Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Malvern Town.
- Where and when is Gloucester City vs Malvern Town played?
- Gloucester City vs Malvern Town is played on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at New Meadow Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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