Gloucester City vs Malvern Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)New Meadow Park, Gloucester, Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gloucester City vs Malvern Town?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Gloucester City (1,864) and Malvern Town (1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gloucester City have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Malvern Town have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 2-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Gloucester City win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Malvern Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2023 | Malvern Town 0-1 Gloucester City | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Malvern Town vs Gloucester City on Jul 8, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Malvern Town | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gloucester City sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Malvern Town sit 22nd (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gloucester City vs Malvern Town?
- The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Malvern Town.
- Where and when is Gloucester City vs Malvern Town played?
- Gloucester City vs Malvern Town is played on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at New Meadow Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 10, 2026Wimborne TownvsPoole Town
- Nov 10, 2026UxbridgevsHanwell Town
- Nov 10, 2026Chertsey TownvsChichester City
- Nov 10, 2026Evesham UnitedvsYate Town
- Nov 10, 2026SholingvsChippenham Town
- Nov 10, 2026Bath CityvsTaunton Town
- Nov 10, 2026Hanworth VillavsBerkhamsted
- Nov 10, 2026Havant & WvillevsBracknell Town