Chertsey Town vs Chichester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Alwyns Lane Football Ground, Chertsey, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Chichester City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chertsey Town vs Chichester City?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Chertsey Town (1,875) and Chichester City (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chertsey Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Chichester City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bognor Regis Town(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chichester City score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Chichester City | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chertsey Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Chichester City sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chertsey Town vs Chichester City?
- The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Chichester City.
- Where and when is Chertsey Town vs Chichester City played?
- Chertsey Town vs Chichester City is played on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Alwyns Lane Football Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 10, 2026Wimborne TownvsPoole Town
- Nov 10, 2026UxbridgevsHanwell Town
- Nov 10, 2026Evesham UnitedvsYate Town
- Nov 10, 2026SholingvsChippenham Town
- Nov 10, 2026Gloucester CityvsMalvern Town
- Nov 10, 2026Bath CityvsTaunton Town
- Nov 10, 2026Hanworth VillavsBerkhamsted
- Nov 10, 2026Havant & WvillevsBracknell Town