Match

Hanworth Villa vs Malvern Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Rectory Meadow, Hanworth, Middlesex

Hanworth VillaMalvern Town

The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hanworth Villa vs Malvern Town?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Hanworth Villa (1,844) and Malvern Town (1,789).

Hanworth Villa win53 %
Draw23 %
Malvern Town win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hanworth Villa have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Malvern Town have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hanworth Villa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Evesham United(home)4-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Bath City(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 12, 2026Gosport Borough(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Taunton Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 21, 2026Kingstonian(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Malvern Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wimborne Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Bracknell Town(away)0-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Taunton Town(away)2-5Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Hanwell Town(home)2-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Rushall Olympic(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Hanworth Villa score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hanworth Villa1.70.767/156/15
Malvern Town1.91.848/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hanworth Villa sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern South (9 points from 4 matches) and Malvern Town sit 22nd (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Hanworth Villa4301729
22Malvern Town40224102

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hanworth Villa vs Malvern Town?
The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Malvern Town.
Where and when is Hanworth Villa vs Malvern Town played?
Hanworth Villa vs Malvern Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Rectory Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hanworth Villa and Malvern Town

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