Evesham United vs Yate Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Evesham United the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Evesham United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,797 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Evesham United vs Yate Town?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Evesham United (1,735) and Yate Town (1,755).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Evesham United vs Yate Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Evesham United
Not enough data to predict the Evesham United lineup.
Yate Town
Not enough data to predict the Yate Town lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Yate Town have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Evesham United wins, 1 draw, 3 Yate Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Yate Town 3-0 Evesham United | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Evesham United 0-1 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Evesham United 2-1 Yate Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Yate Town 1-0 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Evesham United 1-1 Yate Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Yate Town 1-5 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Evesham United on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Evesham United score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evesham United | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Yate Town | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Evesham United sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern South (13 points from 12 matches) and Yate Town sit 16th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Evesham United | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 13 |
| 16 | Yate Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 12 |
A question about Evesham United vs Yate Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Yate Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Evesham United the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Yate Town.
- Where and when is Evesham United vs Yate Town played?
- Evesham United vs Yate Town is played on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Gosport Borough4-0Basingstoke Town
- Nov 10, 2026Wimborne TownvsPoole Town
- Nov 10, 2026UxbridgevsHanwell Town
- Nov 10, 2026Chertsey TownvsChichester City
- Nov 10, 2026SholingvsChippenham Town
- Nov 10, 2026Havant & WvillevsBracknell Town
- Nov 10, 2026Gloucester CityvsMalvern Town
- Nov 10, 2026Bath CityvsTaunton Town