Gosport Borough vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Privett Park, Gosport, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Gosport Borough the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gosport Borough vs Basingstoke Town?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Gosport Borough (1,732) and Basingstoke Town (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gosport Borough have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-6 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gosport Borough win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Basingstoke Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Basingstoke Town 0-3 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Gosport Borough 3-4 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Gosport Borough 2-1 Basingstoke Town | FA Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 0-1 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Gosport Borough 3-3 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Basingstoke Town 3-0 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gosport Borough score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gosport Borough | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gosport Borough sit 16th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | Gosport Borough | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gosport Borough vs Basingstoke Town?
- The Footlab model makes Gosport Borough the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Gosport Borough vs Basingstoke Town played?
- Gosport Borough vs Basingstoke Town is played on November 11, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Privett Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 10, 2026Wimborne TownvsPoole Town
- Nov 10, 2026UxbridgevsHanwell Town
- Nov 10, 2026Chertsey TownvsChichester City
- Nov 10, 2026Evesham UnitedvsYate Town
- Nov 10, 2026SholingvsChippenham Town
- Nov 10, 2026Gloucester CityvsMalvern Town
- Nov 10, 2026Bath CityvsTaunton Town
- Nov 10, 2026Hanworth VillavsBerkhamsted