Gloucester City vs Merthyr Town: result 0-1 and analysis
FA Cup3rd Round QualifyingKick-off on October 1, 2022 at 02:00 PM (UTC)New Meadow Park, Gloucester, Gloucestershire
Full time
What was the result of Gloucester City vs Merthyr Town?
Merthyr Town won 0-1 on October 1, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 90′?Merthyr Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gloucester City have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Merthyr Town have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2022 | Banbury United(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Chorley(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Hungerford Town(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 13, 2022 | AFC Telford United(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2022 | Winchester City(home) | 5-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Chesham United(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 20, 2022 | Cirencester Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Cirencester Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Salisbury(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
How many goals should we expect?
Gloucester City score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Merthyr Town score 1.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloucester City | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Merthyr Town | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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